The argument assumes a causal relationship where only a correlation has been indicated.
The arguer’s reasoning linking A with B seems reasonable on the surface, but…
There is no information available to justify any causal relationship between A and B.
We do not have any evidences suggesting that A will cause B.
Contingencies such asmarket changes, competition, material and labor costs, legislative moves, and the national or international economic cycle can all lead to the dropping profit.
Any further linkage of these two phenomena requires more evidence and is not justified by the data so far available.
To find the exact cause(s) ofeconomic ups or downs, examination should be applied to all the factors that have significant impact on the economy.
It does not naturally warrant the conclusion that A has significantly contributed, and thus is causal to B.
